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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 31, 2004 10:40:33 GMT -5
If you look at my team by team analysis for Butter ChickNs, you will see that I had some doubts about Mr. Williams:
"Ricky should produce numbers similar to the top backs this season but I have to admit the substance abuse is starting to raise some question marks for me. If he is forced to miss time as a result of a league suspension, that could pose problems with him, especially given his unstable mental health."
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 25, 2004 2:26:59 GMT -5
....and ChickNs is off to a fine start in 2004 I feel for you ChickNs. 4 inches.
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 16, 2004 19:02:38 GMT -5
ChickN:
Good questions.
I think that Tiki will bounce back this year and put up better numbers than last year. He has always been a pretty consisitent performer with decent speed, agility and is often used in third down passing situations. I like his experience over R. Johnson. I think Tiki will find the end zone a little more this year. Tiki has a tendency to cough up the ball and his durability is a concern but overall I give the edge to Tiki--little more experience and consistent past performance.
I like N. Cage over Travolta.
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 11, 2004 19:41:49 GMT -5
ChickN:
I do not think the statement is as bad as you make it out to be. Either way, it is my opinion and as you like to say, I am exercising my right to free speech.
(1) While TO has missed 5 games over the past four years, his production is comparable to Harrison's exept for 2002 (Harrison's career year of 143 catches):
2000 TO--14 GMs 97 Recs 1451 YDs 13 TDs MH--16 GMs 102 Recs 1413 YDs 14 TDs Advantage--TO (b/c better per game numbers).
2001 TO--16 GMs 93 Recs 1412 YDs 16 TDs MH--16 GMs 109 Recs 1524 YDs 15 TDs Advantage--MH b/c better per game numbers but note that MH had 16 more catches and less TD production than TO.
2002 TO--14 GMs 100 Rec 1300 YDs 13 TDs MH--16 GMs 143 Recs 1722 YDs 11 TDs Advantage--MH hands down but again note that the man caught 43 more passes and still had 2 less TDs.
2003 TO---15 GMs 80 Recs 1102 YDs 9 TDs MH--15 GMs 94 Recs 1272 YDs 10 TDs Advantage---MH but only b/c the 49ers did not get TO the ball. Only 80 catches is a joke yet he still had 9 TDs.
What does all of this mean? It means that the statement I made earlier was not HORRIBLE. Based on the numbers, I think TO has more talent than MH just did not get the ball as much. TO finds the end zone more often per catch than MH. If TO can get the ball as much as MH this year, he will put up better numbers than MH.
(2) This leads me to my next point, Harrison's decrease in touches will occur at the same time that TO's touches increase this year. The reason Philly has spread the ball around in the past is b/c the WRs have been awful. They have not had a "go to" WR for quite some time. The arrival of TO brings with it a featured wideout. I agree that Reid won't give into his "pregnant doging," but he will GIVE HIM THE BALL. These items go hand in hand, TO will not run his mouth b/c Reid will give him the ball. Philly paid big bucks for TO and plans on giving him the ball and more than 80 times.
(3) McNabb is no Peyton Manning but he is better than Garcia and the fact that he has had no WRs in the past has contributed to his poor numbers.
(4) I said that Harrison's age will begin to slow him down, I did not say that TO's age will slow him down. Age hits people in different ways, and I think it will show more with Harrison.
Chad Johnson does have a Rookie QB, albeit one with a better arm than the slug throwing him the ball last year. Johnson will put up great numbers again this year. Hines Ward is very underrated, and what NFL player is HAPPY with his contract these days--more insentive to perform well and move elsewhere for more $$$.
Obviously, you are entitled to disagree with my my #3 selection but it is not as horrible as you convince yourself that it is. It is not unrealistic to say that Holt, Moss, TO will have better numbers than Harrison. Ward will also put up numbers close to this group.
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 10, 2004 13:09:11 GMT -5
Comical??
T. Holt R. Moss T. Owens H. Ward/C. Johnson/Harrison.
You make the point for me, a stronger Edge will mean more running and screen passes, a healthy D. Clark, Pollard and an emerging Wayne will mean less touches. Do not get me wrong, Harrison is still a top WR, I just said his days as a top 3 are behind him. He may be 4th, he may be 6th. Wherever he falls this year, I am making the point that he will begin sliding down rather than moving up.
I still gave you a Grade of an A, what do you want???
4 inches
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 9, 2004 14:41:27 GMT -5
Wide Receivers: Entering this season, the Chickens have the best WR duo with Moss and Harrison. The only issue is that Harrison is 32 years old and this may be the year that Reggie Wayne begins to emerge as the Colts future #1 receiver. Harrison will still be very productive but his days as a top three receiver may be behind him. Moss will remain a top WR threat for years to come. Grade: A Running Back: Two years ago this RB trio would have been arguably better than any other RB trio. Ricky should produce numbers similar to the top backs this season but I have to admit the substance abuse is starting to raise some question marks for me. If he is forced to miss time as a result of a league suspension, that could pose problems with him, especially given his unstable mental health. Dillon is a talented RB but like RW, he does not seem to have his head on straight. The new digs in New England provide a fresh start but at age 30, he better maximize his potentail here b/c the chances may become far and few between here after. T. Henry is an interesting RB with loads of talent. If the Bills continue to give him the carries he deserves, Henry may put up the best numbers of the three. There are some issues with Willis taking carries away but I do not envision Henry losing that many carries. I expect Williams and Henry to head the ChickNs backfield w/ Dillon serving as one of the best #3 backs in the league. I think if all goes well, ChickNs RBs will be among the league leaders in production. However, I am going on record saying that it would not surprise me if the fantasy production of this Trio does not meet expectations this year, given the reasons mentioned above. It will be interesting to see who has the best RB production in the Madden Division w/ the combos of Rickey & Henry, Priest & Tiki, Deuce & . Grade: A-
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 5, 2004 15:02:12 GMT -5
Sounds like fun.
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 5, 2004 12:46:28 GMT -5
(1) I think Gerald should be commended for coming up with an equitable solution to a difficult situation. I think all owners are pleased with the outcome. The Ravens D selection is not that shocking. I was looking into the Ravs or Pats with one of the last selections, but given all the WRs selected, I thought it was better to get two quality WRs.
(2) Pennington is a good QB, as is Bulger, and it was surprising that Bulger was not selected given his low GUR.
(3) I agree that no one loaded up on one position (except HH at WR!) but I think all of the owners did well in the expansion draft with James and Gang Green coming out with the best draft given their RB talent.
(4) Agreed that Hamms should have taken a stud RB but with Peyton and a solid WR core, maybe 1RB 3WR is the way for HH to accumulate his points.
(5) Expansion teams did well overall and although 4 inches did not have the best expansion draft, it was a tactical draft to get talent while not losing regular draft picks. 4 inches is looking forward to the #6 and #9 overall picks in the regular draft.
(6) Taking two WRs is not too bad if you did not have to give up too much in regular draft positions to get them. Coles may loose some RECs given that Gibbs loves to run and now that Portis is in town. Boldin is talented but I am not sure he will put up the same numbers.
(7) I have to disagree with this one. As long as the Priest stays healthy, he will again put up the best numbers. I also look for Deuce McAllister to find the end zone more this year.
(8) The Madden Division looks to be a fun division with active owners. Henry is underrated but will Willis take carries???
(9) As for my trade with Bears, I probably gave up too much, but I wanted a top RB and Bears was the only team willing to budge to secure that. Peyton threw my strategy for a loop but I would do the trade again to get my man. Given that my next two picks in the draft after #3 were #13 and #14, I am happy with the results---Hasselback is talented and improving in an explosive offense.
(10) All owners should be encouraged to join the MB, it is fun to hear what everyone else has to say.
(11) Along with Peyton at #1, the Fred Taylor decision is the $60 million question?
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 4, 2004 22:23:09 GMT -5
TJ is an interesting project.
I went to the University of Virginia and watching T. Jones in the NFL has been quite painful. He was an explosive and elusive runner in college, with great receiving skills. He has never really had a chance to completely demonstrate his abilities, except for the tail end of last year with Tampa. I think he can be a good NFL back, but just needs a complete year of getting the bulk of the carries.
I am concerned about splitting time with the A-Train, especially down by the goal line. Given that Chicago signed him for 4 years and wants to run the WCO, I think he will get an opportunity. If this stint with the Bears does not work out, I am afraid TJ will be just another good college player that never realized his potential---ie, a bust.
I truly hope not and I was willing to take a chance on him if he fell to me at #19 or #20.
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 4, 2004 21:46:00 GMT -5
I was debating b/w Bulger and Hass, but I like what Holmgreen did w/ Favre so maybe Hass will come into is own and grow even more from last year's impressive performance.
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 4, 2004 15:38:47 GMT -5
Gerald:
You truly are a good Commish. I think that is a very good solution.
4 inches
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 4, 2004 12:45:17 GMT -5
4th & Inches select:
D. Mason (Ten) & C. Chambers (Mia).
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 3, 2004 11:37:36 GMT -5
Moot point---
Commish answered the question. In any event, the fact that other teams can only DROP players actually makes the player pool deeper, so no big deal.
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 3, 2004 11:32:04 GMT -5
I am not getting into the NOT FAIR GAME, I was just saying it would be nice not to have the player pool that we go into the draft with today change in two weeks. We make selections today based on what we think we can obtain in the regular draft later given our draft order.
As for analysis, I am looking forward to it. The Peyton selection definitely altered the draft somewhat.
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Post by Fourth & Inches on Jul 3, 2004 11:13:07 GMT -5
ChickN:
Your question raises an interesting point, but I don't think it is fair for the expansion teams to have an expansion draft based on the player pool available in the regular draft and then after the expansion draft the regular player pool changes.
Just my 2 cents.
By the way, I thought you would have had some draft analysis at this point. Hindsight is 20/20 and if I had known Peyton was going to be selected in the top three, I never would have made the trade in picks. But as it stands, I actually obtained a RB that I thought I had no chance at, even moving to #3.
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